First Passage Time Analysis on Climate Indices
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
First Passage Time Analysis on Climate Indices
Climate variability is simply represented by teleconnection patterns such as the Arctic Oscillation (AO), Antarctic Oscillation (AAO), North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), Pacific–North American pattern (PNA), and Southern Oscillation (SO) with associated indices. Two approaches can be used to predict the indices: forward and backward methods. The forward method is commonly used to predict the ind...
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Climate prediction experiences various input uncertainties such as initial condition errors (predictability of the first kind), boundary condition (or model parameter) errors (predictability of the second kind), and combined errors (predictability of the third kind). Quantification of model predictability due to input uncertainties is a key issue leading to successful climate prediction. The fi...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Journal of Atmospheric and Oceanic Technology
سال: 2008
ISSN: 1520-0426,0739-0572
DOI: 10.1175/2007jtecha991.1